Make your political predictions
January 16th, 2008Mike Huckabee and Barack Obama win in Iowa. John McCain and Hillary Clinton win New Hampshire. Mitt Romney and Clinton win Michigan (although given the situation on the Democratic side, the win for Clinton was much less meaningful).
If anybody tells you they know how the primaries are ultimately going to shake out, they’re full of it. Nonetheless, if you’d like to make your predictions about the winners, go right ahead. If you’d like to try to convince someone to support your candidate, feel free. I’m still not 100 percent certain who I’m voting for, although I’m probably leaning toward Romney.
My predictions: John McCain and Hillary Clinton.
Huckabee vs. Obama
I don’t see how Mitt Romney won’t get the nod. He’s 1st or 2nd in almost every state. He’s the most targeted candidate at every debate. He may not win every primary, but if he’s first or second in most of them, he’ll win the war. McCain won’t get it, the more conservative states won’t back him. Same for Guilani. Thompson is my biggest disappointment. Where’s the pathos? And Huckabee will just slowly fall away. I’m like you, Tim, I don’t know 100% who I want to vote for, but something keeps leading me back to Ron Paul. The guy makes sense, and that’s about all I can say.
McCain/Obama
My shot in the dark is Romney vs Obama.
I have been keeping up with a discussion on this very topic over at The Bench Stone because I am still undecided as well. There are some pretty good arguments for (and against) Ron Paul as well as others.
Here is the link.
j razz
“John McCain and Hillary Clinton”
Together? On the same ticket? Fascinating! Who would have ever seen that team-up coming? Me, I like a Huckabee/Obama in 2008 ticket myself.
My prediction is that sometime before the general election a major event similar to 9/11 will happen and the elections will be canceled. Courtesy of Mr. Chaney of course!
I’ll go with McCain vs. Clinton unless Obama can win SC and Nevada and keep the momentum going until Feb. 5. The only other wild card is Giuliani. He’s basically put all his eggs in one basket with a “big state strategy”. If he starts winning those it’s still up in the air.
I think (and hope) Obama will beat off Clinton.
On the Republican side, something tells me we should still keep an eye on Guliani, too.
It is impossible to watch TV here in SC and not see multiple candidate ads (all three democrats and five out of six Repubs - all but Romney). Its interesting.
I believe that Obama will win the democratic primary here by a pretty good margin. I fear McCain may win on the Repub side as the conservative vote will be split — many misguided conservative evangelicals will vote for Huckabee because he’s a preacher (preached at an SBC megachurch in Spartanburg Sunday), and then Romney an Thompson (who is really surging here) will split votes. I was a Paul supporter, and in an ideal world I like his platform best, but in the real world, where it is what it is in the middle east and whatnot, I’m now undecided between Thompson and Romney. Would like to be persuaded before saturday.
Romney/Huckabee will do better than expected against Obama/Richardson, but the Dems will, unfortunately, win.
I meant all but Giuliani were running ads, for what its worth.
Here’s my prediction…either one of the democrat “front runners” will end up winning the election or one of of the Republican ones will. Either way it won’t make a hill of beans of difference.
Larry, could we change capital hill to hill of beans? Wouldn’t it make more sense?
Hillary WILL be the Democrat nominee. Period. Remember she has the Clinton dirty tricks machine behind her.
I had thought Giuliani would be the front runner by now for the GOP. Pat Robertson & Sean Hannity aside, I’m glad he’s not. Remember. like Bloomberg, he was a Democrat who “became” a Republican in order to run for mayor of NYC. I don’t believe Huckabee will have broad enough appeal to land the nomination. I think Romney may just get enough delegates to be nominated.
Hillary vs. Mitt.
And remember: any third party candidate who emerges will split the GOP vote and Hillary will win with her 43% base. Just refer back to ‘92 & ‘96 for proof.